Finance-Theory · Unit 10 · Video 1 · Interactive Practice

What Makes a Price a Price, and Why an Exporter Wants to Lock One In

IKey Formulas

FormulaNameWhat it says
dollar revenue=PS\text{dollar revenue} = \dfrac{P}{S}Converting foreign salesPP = fixed local price, SS = units of foreign currency one dollar buys
revenue at S1revenue at S0=S0S1\dfrac{\text{revenue at } S_1}{\text{revenue at } S_0} = \dfrac{S_0}{S_1}Currency exposureFrom S0=1S_0 = 1 to S1=4S_1 = 4 reais per dollar the same machine brings in 14\tfrac{1}{4} of the dollars
profit=P−ClocalS−Chome\text{profit} = \dfrac{P - C_{\text{local}}}{S} - C_{\text{home}}Natural hedgeCosts paid in the sales currency offset it: only the net local flow P−ClocalP - C_{\text{local}} is converted

Key Insight: A price is a number at which a buyer and a seller agree to transact. A number nobody trades at is not a price, so suspending mark to market changes the books, not the value.

IIWhat Makes a Number a Price

A price exists only where a buyer's bid meets a seller's ask; a booked number alone is not one.

IIIOne Machine, Two Exchange Rates

With the local price fixed, dollar revenue is P/SP/S: every rise in reais per dollar costs the exporter dollars.

IVThe Natural Hedge

Paying costs in the currency of the sales leaves only the net local flow exposed to the exchange rate.

💡 A local plant takes a year or two to build, so a firm facing currency swings today needs a hedge that is available now: forwards and futures.

VQuiz Questions

Problem 1 · Converting Foreign Sales

Given: A US firm sells a machine in Brazil at a fixed price of 360,000 reais. When the customer pays, one dollar buys 2.4 reais. Find the firm's revenue in dollars.

✅ Correct! Each dollar costs the customer 2.4 reais, so 360,000 reais buy 150,000 dollars.
❌ Multiplied instead of divided. The rate is reais per dollar; turning reais into dollars means dividing by it. More reais per dollar must mean fewer dollars, not more.
❌ That skips the conversion. 360,000 is the amount in reais; the firm measures revenue in dollars, and one dollar is worth 2.4 reais.
❌ Check the decimal. The division is right in spirit, but 360,000 divided by 2.4 is ten times larger than this.
❌ Not quite. Dollar revenue is the local price divided by reais per dollar.
Show solution

With P=360,000P = 360{,}000 reais and S=2.4S = 2.4 reais per dollar:

dollar revenue=PS=360,0002.4=150,000\text{dollar revenue} = \frac{P}{S} = \frac{360{,}000}{2.4} = 150{,}000

The firm receives $150,000.

Problem 2 · The Percentage Trap

Given: A machine's price in Brazil is fixed in reais. Between the order and the payment the exchange rate rises from 2.0 to 2.5 reais per dollar, a 25% rise. By what percentage does the firm's dollar revenue from the machine fall?

✅ Correct! Revenue scales by S0/S1=2.0/2.5=0.8S_0/S_1 = 2.0/2.5 = 0.8: a 20% fall, smaller than the 25% rise in the rate.
❌ The two percentages are not equal. Revenue is P/SP/S, not proportional to SS; a 25% rise in the rate multiplies revenue by 11.25=0.8\tfrac{1}{1.25} = 0.8.
❌ That is what remains, not the fall. Revenue ends at 80% of plan, so it falls by 20%.
❌ The local price is fixed, the dollar amount is not. The same reais convert into fewer dollars once each dollar costs more reais.
❌ Not quite. Compare P/2.5P/2.5 with P/2.0P/2.0.
Show solution
revenue at S1revenue at S0=P/2.5P/2.0=2.02.5=0.8\frac{\text{revenue at } S_1}{\text{revenue at } S_0} = \frac{P/2.5}{P/2.0} = \frac{2.0}{2.5} = 0.8

Revenue keeps 0.8 of its planned value, so it falls by 20%, whatever PP is. Because revenue is proportional to 1S\tfrac{1}{S}, a rise in the rate always cuts revenue by a smaller percentage than the rise itself (going back from 2.5 to 2.0 would raise revenue by 25%).

Problem 3 · Two Firms, One Currency Move

Given: Two exporters each sell 600,000 reais of machines in Brazil, planned at 2.0 reais per dollar. Firm A pays all its costs in the US: $200,000. Firm B built a plant in Brazil and pays its costs in reais: 400,000 reais (the same $200,000 at the planned rate). The rate moves to 3.0 reais per dollar. Find Firm B's profit in dollars.

✅ Correct! Only B's net 200,000 reais is converted, so its profit falls by a third while Firm A's is wiped out.
❌ That is Firm A. A converts all 600,000 reais of revenue (200,000 dollars) and still owes 200,000 dollars of costs. B's costs are in reais and move with its revenue.
❌ The offset is large but not complete. That is the profit at the planned rate. The net 200,000 reais B still converts is exposed to the move.
❌ That is revenue, not profit. 600,000 reais at 3.0 is 200,000 dollars, but B still pays 400,000 reais of costs out of it.
❌ Not quite. Net B's reais revenue and reais costs first, then convert.
Show solution

At the planned rate 2.0 both firms earn the same:

A: 600,0002.0−200,000=100,000B: 600,000−400,0002.0=100,000\text{A: } \frac{600{,}000}{2.0} - 200{,}000 = 100{,}000 \qquad \text{B: } \frac{600{,}000 - 400{,}000}{2.0} = 100{,}000

At 3.0:

A: 600,0003.0−200,000=0B: 200,0003.0≈66,667\text{A: } \frac{600{,}000}{3.0} - 200{,}000 = 0 \qquad \text{B: } \frac{200{,}000}{3.0} \approx 66{,}667

Firm B earns about $66,667. Matching sales and expenses in one currency means a currency move hits both sides; they largely offset, and only the net flow remains exposed.

Problem 4 · Suspending Mark to Market

Given: A bank holds securities with a face value of $10 million. Before a crisis they traded at 90 per 100 of face value; buyers and sellers now transact at 55 per 100. A proposed rule would let the bank keep them on its books at 90. Which statement is right?

✅ Correct! The market sets the value: trades happen at 55, so the holding is worth 5.5 million dollars whatever the books say.
❌ Changing the books creates no value. Nobody will pay more for the securities because the ledger says 90; like telling people to sit down in a smoky theater, it does not put out the fire.
❌ That was a price, and it no longer is. A price is a number at which a buyer and a seller agree to transact now; nobody transacts at 90 today.
❌ Trades are still happening. Buyers and sellers agree at 55, so 55 is a price. Fear lowers the price; it does not make it zero.
❌ Not quite. Ask where a buyer and a seller actually agree to transact.
Show solution

Market value at the price where trades happen:

market value=10×55100=5.5 million\text{market value} = 10 \times \frac{55}{100} = 5.5 \text{ million}

Booked value under the proposed rule:

booked value=10×90100=9.0 million\text{booked value} = 10 \times \frac{90}{100} = 9.0 \text{ million}

The difference, 9.0 − 5.5 = 3.5 million dollars, exists only on the books. The bank could sell for $5.5 million and no more; suspending mark to market changes the number on the books and leaves the securities' value where it was.

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