Finance-Theory ยท Unit 17 ยท Video 2 ยท Interactive Practice

The Tangency Portfolio: Why Every Investor Holds the Same Stocks

IKey Formulas

FormulaNameWhat it says
qq dominates pp when E[Rq]โ‰ฅE[Rp]\mathsf{E}[R_q] \ge \mathsf{E}[R_p] and ฯƒqโ‰คฯƒp\sigma_q \le \sigma_p, at least one strictlyDominance testqq sits in pp's north-west quadrant: straight up, straight west, or between
E[R]=rf+ฯ‰โ€‰(E[Rp]โˆ’rf)\mathsf{E}[R] = r_f + \omega\,(\mathsf{E}[R_p] - r_f)Expected return of a T-bill mixWeight ฯ‰\omega on portfolio pp, the rest 1โˆ’ฯ‰1 - \omega in T-bills
ฯƒ=ฯ‰โ€‰ฯƒp\sigma = \omega\,\sigma_pRisk of a T-bill mixT-bills carry no risk, so only the share in pp contributes (0โ‰คฯ‰โ‰ค10 \le \omega \le 1 here)
E[Rp]โˆ’rfฯƒp\dfrac{\mathsf{E}[R_p] - r_f}{\sigma_p}Steepness of the line through ppExtra expected return per unit of risk; at any positive risk, the steeper line pays more

Key Insight: Both coordinates are linear in ฯ‰\omega, so every T-bill mix lies on the straight line from rfr_f to pp. The steepest such line that still reaches a feasible portfolio is tangent to the efficient frontier, and every investor who likes expected return and dislikes risk holds its touching point, the tangency portfolio, choosing only how much to keep in T-bills.

IIThe North-West Quadrant

A portfolio beats another only if it lies in that portfolio's north-west quadrant: no more risk, no less expected return.

IIIT-Bills Plus Any Portfolio

Mixing T-bills with any portfolio pp moves you along the straight segment from rfr_f to pp.

IVRotating Up to the Tangent Line

Pivoting the line about rfr_f, the steepest line that still reaches a feasible portfolio touches the frontier exactly once.

๐Ÿ’ก A cautious retiree and a hedge fund manager both hold TT; they differ only in ฯ‰\omega, how much of their money sits in TT rather than in T-bills.

VQuiz Questions

Problem 1 ยท Mixing T-Bills with a Portfolio

Given: portfolio CC has E[RC]=14%\mathsf{E}[R_C] = 14\% and ฯƒC=30%\sigma_C = 30\% per year, and T-bills pay rf=3%r_f = 3\%. You put 15\tfrac{1}{5} of your money in T-bills and the rest in CC. Find the expected return and standard deviation of your mix.

โœ… Correct! With ฯ‰=45\omega = \tfrac{4}{5} the mix sits four-fifths of the way along the segment from rfr_f to CC.
โŒ Not quite. That uses ฯ‰=15\omega = \tfrac{1}{5}, but 15\tfrac{1}{5} is the share in T-bills; the weight on CC is ฯ‰=1โˆ’15=45\omega = 1 - \tfrac{1}{5} = \tfrac{4}{5}.
โŒ Not quite. 45ร—14%=11.2%\tfrac{4}{5} \times 14\% = 11.2\% leaves out the T-bills, which still earn 3%3\% on their fifth: 11.2%+15ร—3%=11.8%11.2\% + \tfrac{1}{5} \times 3\% = 11.8\%.
โŒ Close, butโ€ฆ the expected return is right, yet 45ร—30%\sqrt{\tfrac{4}{5}} \times 30\% scales the variance by ฯ‰\omega. T-bills are riskless, so the standard deviation itself scales: ฯƒ=ฯ‰โ€‰ฯƒC\sigma = \omega\,\sigma_C.
Show solution

The weight on CC is ฯ‰=1โˆ’15=45\omega = 1 - \tfrac{1}{5} = \tfrac{4}{5}.

E[R]=rf+ฯ‰โ€‰(E[RC]โˆ’rf)=3%+45โ€‰(14%โˆ’3%)=3%+8.8%=11.8%\mathsf{E}[R] = r_f + \omega\,(\mathsf{E}[R_C] - r_f) = 3\% + \tfrac{4}{5}\,(14\% - 3\%) = 3\% + 8.8\% = 11.8\% ฯƒ=ฯ‰โ€‰ฯƒC=45ร—30%=24%\sigma = \omega\,\sigma_C = \tfrac{4}{5} \times 30\% = 24\%

The mix sits on the straight line from (0%,3%)(0\%, 3\%) to C=(30%,14%)C = (30\%, 14\%) in the (risk, return) plane, four-fifths of the way toward CC.

Problem 2 ยท Which One Dominates?

Given: portfolio BB has E[RB]=11%\mathsf{E}[R_B] = 11\% and ฯƒB=20%\sigma_B = 20\% per year; T-bills pay rf=3%r_f = 3\%. Which of these is strictly preferred to BB by every investor who likes expected return and dislikes risk?

โœ… Correct! Each candidate trades more return for more risk or less risk for less return, so none lies in BB's north-west quadrant.
โŒ Not quite. CC has the higher expected return but also the higher risk: it lies north-east of BB, outside the preferred quadrant.
โŒ Not quite. AA is less risky but also earns less: it lies south-west of BB, outside the preferred quadrant.
โŒ Not quite. Work out the mix: E[R]=3%+35(14%โˆ’3%)=9.6%\mathsf{E}[R] = 3\% + \tfrac{3}{5}(14\% - 3\%) = 9.6\% and ฯƒ=35(30%)=18%\sigma = \tfrac{3}{5}(30\%) = 18\%. Less risk than BB, but less expected return too.
Show solution

qq is strictly preferred to BB only if E[Rq]โ‰ฅ11%\mathsf{E}[R_q] \ge 11\% and ฯƒqโ‰ค20%\sigma_q \le 20\%, with at least one inequality strict. Check each candidate:

  • CC: 14%โ‰ฅ11%14\% \ge 11\% but 30%>20%30\% > 20\%. Fails the risk condition (north-east).
  • AA: 12%โ‰ค20%12\% \le 20\% but 8%<11%8\% < 11\%. Fails the return condition (south-west).
  • The mix, ฯ‰=35\omega = \tfrac{3}{5}: E[R]=3%+35(14%โˆ’3%)=9.6%\mathsf{E}[R] = 3\% + \tfrac{3}{5}(14\% - 3\%) = 9.6\%, ฯƒ=35(30%)=18%\sigma = \tfrac{3}{5}(30\%) = 18\%. Again south-west.

None of them dominates BB, and BB dominates none of them either: a higher return alone, or a lower risk alone, is not enough.

Problem 3 ยท Three Ways to the Same Risk

Given: T-bills pay rf=3%r_f = 3\%, and three portfolios have AA: E[RA]=8%\mathsf{E}[R_A] = 8\%, ฯƒA=12%\sigma_A = 12\%; BB: E[RB]=11%\mathsf{E}[R_B] = 11\%, ฯƒB=20%\sigma_B = 20\%; CC: E[RC]=14%\mathsf{E}[R_C] = 14\%, ฯƒC=30%\sigma_C = 30\% (all per year). Three investments each have ฯƒ=12%\sigma = 12\%: AA alone; 35\tfrac{3}{5} in BB with 25\tfrac{2}{5} in T-bills; 25\tfrac{2}{5} in CC with 35\tfrac{3}{5} in T-bills.

Expected return of 3/5 in B, 2/5 in T-bills?

Which of the three earns the most at ฯƒ = 12%?

โœ… Correct! At ฯƒ=12%\sigma = 12\% the three earn 8%8\%, 7.8%7.8\% and 7.4%7.4\%: the line through AA is the steepest, so it pays the most at this risk and at every other positive risk.
โŒ Not quite. 6.2%6.2\% puts 25\tfrac{2}{5} in BB; here ฯ‰=35\omega = \tfrac{3}{5} is the weight on BB.
โŒ Not quite. 35ร—11%=6.6%\tfrac{3}{5} \times 11\% = 6.6\% forgets that the T-bill share still earns 3%3\%.
โŒ Not quite. 3%+35ร—11%3\% + \tfrac{3}{5} \times 11\% counts the riskless rate twice: the weight multiplies the gap E[RB]โˆ’rf=8%\mathsf{E}[R_B] - r_f = 8\%, not 11%11\%.
โŒ Check the expected return. Use E[R]=rf+ฯ‰โ€‰(E[RB]โˆ’rf)\mathsf{E}[R] = r_f + \omega\,(\mathsf{E}[R_B] - r_f) with ฯ‰=35\omega = \tfrac{3}{5}.
โŒ Not quite. The BB mix earns 7.8%7.8\%, but AA alone earns 8%8\% at the same 12%12\% risk: the line through AA is steeper, 512>820\tfrac{5}{12} > \tfrac{8}{20}.
โŒ Not quite. CC has the highest expected return on its own, but diluted to ฯƒ=12%\sigma = 12\% it earns only 3%+25(11%)=7.4%3\% + \tfrac{2}{5}(11\%) = 7.4\%: its line is the flattest.
โŒ Not quite. Equal risk does not mean equal return. Each mix sits on a different line out of rfr_f, and at ฯƒ=12%\sigma = 12\% the lines are at different heights.
โŒ Not quite. Compute all three expected returns at ฯƒ=12%\sigma = 12\% and compare.
Show solution

Each investment reaches ฯƒ=12%\sigma = 12\%, since ฯƒ=ฯ‰โ€‰ฯƒp\sigma = \omega\,\sigma_p: 1ร—12%1 \times 12\%, 35ร—20%\tfrac{3}{5} \times 20\%, 25ร—30%\tfrac{2}{5} \times 30\%. Their expected returns:

A:ย 8%,Bย mix:ย 3%+35(11%โˆ’3%)=7.8%,Cย mix:ย 3%+25(14%โˆ’3%)=7.4%A:\ 8\%, \qquad B \text{ mix}:\ 3\% + \tfrac{3}{5}(11\% - 3\%) = 7.8\%, \qquad C \text{ mix}:\ 3\% + \tfrac{2}{5}(14\% - 3\%) = 7.4\%

Same risk, highest return: AA alone dominates both mixes (it lies straight above them). The reason is the steepness of each line out of rfr_f:

8โˆ’312=512โ‰ˆ0.417,11โˆ’320=0.4,14โˆ’330=1130โ‰ˆ0.367\frac{8 - 3}{12} = \frac{5}{12} \approx 0.417, \qquad \frac{11 - 3}{20} = 0.4, \qquad \frac{14 - 3}{30} = \frac{11}{30} \approx 0.367

The line through AA is the steepest of the three, so at any positive level of risk it offers the highest expected return.

Problem 4 ยท The Retiree's Portfolio

Given: suppose the tangency portfolio is AA, with E[RA]=8%\mathsf{E}[R_A] = 8\% and ฯƒA=12%\sigma_A = 12\% per year, holding three stocks, Osprey, Plover and Robin, in weights 12\tfrac{1}{2}, 310\tfrac{3}{10} and 15\tfrac{1}{5}. T-bills pay rf=3%r_f = 3\%. A cautious retiree with $150,000 keeps 45\tfrac{4}{5} of it in T-bills and puts the rest in AA.

How much does she hold in Plover?

Her portfolio's expected return and risk?

โœ… Correct! She holds Plover and Robin in the ratio 310:15=3:2\tfrac{3}{10} : \tfrac{1}{5} = 3 : 2, exactly as a hedge fund manager holding AA does; only her T-bill share is different, and it puts her low on the line, close to rfr_f.
โŒ Not quite. 310ร—$150,000\tfrac{3}{10} \times \text{\textdollar}150{,}000 treats all her money as invested in AA; only 15\tfrac{1}{5} of it is.
โŒ Not quite. That applies Plover's weight to the 45\tfrac{4}{5} she keeps in T-bills; T-bills hold no stocks.
โŒ Not quite. $30,000 is her whole holding of AA; Plover is only 310\tfrac{3}{10} of it.
โŒ Check the Plover holding. Multiply her wealth by the share in AA, then by Plover's weight inside AA.
โŒ Not quite. That uses ฯ‰=45\omega = \tfrac{4}{5}, the T-bill share; her weight on AA is ฯ‰=15\omega = \tfrac{1}{5}.
โŒ Close, butโ€ฆ the expected return is right, but T-bills are riskless, so her risk shrinks with her weight in AA: ฯƒ=15ร—12%\sigma = \tfrac{1}{5} \times 12\%.
โŒ Not quite. 15ร—8%=1.6%\tfrac{1}{5} \times 8\% = 1.6\% forgets the 3%3\% her T-bills earn on the other 45\tfrac{4}{5}.
โŒ Check the mix. Use ฯ‰=15\omega = \tfrac{1}{5} in both formulas.
Show solution

Her weight on AA is ฯ‰=1โˆ’45=15\omega = 1 - \tfrac{4}{5} = \tfrac{1}{5}, so she has 15ร—$150,000=$30,000\tfrac{1}{5} \times \text{\textdollar}150{,}000 = \text{\textdollar}30{,}000 in AA, and Plover is 310\tfrac{3}{10} of that:

310ร—$30,000=$9,000\tfrac{3}{10} \times \text{\textdollar}30{,}000 = \text{\textdollar}9{,}000

Her expected return and risk:

E[R]=3%+15โ€‰(8%โˆ’3%)=4%,ฯƒ=15ร—12%=2.4%\mathsf{E}[R] = 3\% + \tfrac{1}{5}\,(8\% - 3\%) = 4\%, \qquad \sigma = \tfrac{1}{5} \times 12\% = 2.4\%

Her stock holdings, $15,000 in Osprey, $9,000 in Plover and $6,000 in Robin, are in the proportions 12:310:15\tfrac{1}{2} : \tfrac{3}{10} : \tfrac{1}{5} of the tangency portfolio. Every investor holds the same stocks in the same proportions; risk tolerance only sets ฯ‰\omega.

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