Finance-Theory ยท Unit 17 ยท Video 2 ยท Interactive Practice
The Tangency Portfolio: Why Every Investor Holds the Same Stocks
IKey Formulas
Formula
Name
What it says
q dominates p when E[Rqโ]โฅE[Rpโ] and ฯqโโคฯpโ, at least one strictly
Dominance test
q sits in p's north-west quadrant: straight up, straight west, or between
E[R]=rfโ+ฯ(E[Rpโ]โrfโ)
Expected return of a T-bill mix
Weight ฯ on portfolio p, the rest 1โฯ in T-bills
ฯ=ฯฯpโ
Risk of a T-bill mix
T-bills carry no risk, so only the share in p contributes (0โคฯโค1 here)
ฯpโE[Rpโ]โrfโโ
Steepness of the line through p
Extra expected return per unit of risk; at any positive risk, the steeper line pays more
Key Insight: Both coordinates are linear in ฯ, so every T-bill mix lies on the straight line from rfโ to p. The steepest such line that still reaches a feasible portfolio is tangent to the efficient frontier, and every investor who likes expected return and dislikes risk holds its touching point, the tangency portfolio, choosing only how much to keep in T-bills.
IIThe North-West Quadrant
A portfolio beats another only if it lies in that portfolio's north-west quadrant: no more risk, no less expected return.
IIIT-Bills Plus Any Portfolio
Mixing T-bills with any portfolio p moves you along the straight segment from rfโ to p.
IVRotating Up to the Tangent Line
Pivoting the line about rfโ, the steepest line that still reaches a feasible portfolio touches the frontier exactly once.
๐ก A cautious retiree and a hedge fund manager both hold T; they differ only in ฯ, how much of their money sits in T rather than in T-bills.
VQuiz Questions
Problem 1 ยท Mixing T-Bills with a Portfolio
Given: portfolio C has E[RCโ]=14% and ฯCโ=30% per year, and T-bills pay rfโ=3%. You put 51โ of your money in T-bills and the rest in C. Find the expected return and standard deviation of your mix.
โ Correct! With ฯ=54โ the mix sits four-fifths of the way along the segment from rfโ to C.
โ Not quite. That uses ฯ=51โ, but 51โ is the share in T-bills; the weight on C is ฯ=1โ51โ=54โ.
โ Not quite.54โร14%=11.2% leaves out the T-bills, which still earn 3% on their fifth: 11.2%+51โร3%=11.8%.
โ Close, butโฆ the expected return is right, yet 54โโร30% scales the variance by ฯ. T-bills are riskless, so the standard deviation itself scales: ฯ=ฯฯCโ.
The mix sits on the straight line from (0%,3%) to C=(30%,14%) in the (risk, return) plane, four-fifths of the way toward C.
Problem 2 ยท Which One Dominates?
Given: portfolio B has E[RBโ]=11% and ฯBโ=20% per year; T-bills pay rfโ=3%. Which of these is strictly preferred to B by every investor who likes expected return and dislikes risk?
โ Correct! Each candidate trades more return for more risk or less risk for less return, so none lies in B's north-west quadrant.
โ Not quite.C has the higher expected return but also the higher risk: it lies north-east of B, outside the preferred quadrant.
โ Not quite.A is less risky but also earns less: it lies south-west of B, outside the preferred quadrant.
โ Not quite. Work out the mix: E[R]=3%+53โ(14%โ3%)=9.6% and ฯ=53โ(30%)=18%. Less risk than B, but less expected return too.
Show solution
q is strictly preferred to B only if E[Rqโ]โฅ11% and ฯqโโค20%, with at least one inequality strict. Check each candidate:
C: 14%โฅ11% but 30%>20%. Fails the risk condition (north-east).
A: 12%โค20% but 8%<11%. Fails the return condition (south-west).
The mix, ฯ=53โ: E[R]=3%+53โ(14%โ3%)=9.6%, ฯ=53โ(30%)=18%. Again south-west.
None of them dominates B, and B dominates none of them either: a higher return alone, or a lower risk alone, is not enough.
Problem 3 ยท Three Ways to the Same Risk
Given: T-bills pay rfโ=3%, and three portfolios have A: E[RAโ]=8%, ฯAโ=12%; B: E[RBโ]=11%, ฯBโ=20%; C: E[RCโ]=14%, ฯCโ=30% (all per year). Three investments each have ฯ=12%: A alone; 53โ in B with 52โ in T-bills; 52โ in C with 53โ in T-bills.
Expected return of 3/5 in B, 2/5 in T-bills?
Which of the three earns the most at ฯ = 12%?
โ Correct! At ฯ=12% the three earn 8%, 7.8% and 7.4%: the line through A is the steepest, so it pays the most at this risk and at every other positive risk.
โ Not quite.6.2% puts 52โ in B; here ฯ=53โ is the weight on B.
โ Not quite.53โร11%=6.6% forgets that the T-bill share still earns 3%.
โ Not quite.3%+53โร11% counts the riskless rate twice: the weight multiplies the gap E[RBโ]โrfโ=8%, not 11%.
โ Check the expected return. Use E[R]=rfโ+ฯ(E[RBโ]โrfโ) with ฯ=53โ.
โ Not quite. The B mix earns 7.8%, but A alone earns 8% at the same 12% risk: the line through A is steeper, 125โ>208โ.
โ Not quite.C has the highest expected return on its own, but diluted to ฯ=12% it earns only 3%+52โ(11%)=7.4%: its line is the flattest.
โ Not quite. Equal risk does not mean equal return. Each mix sits on a different line out of rfโ, and at ฯ=12% the lines are at different heights.
โ Not quite. Compute all three expected returns at ฯ=12% and compare.
Show solution
Each investment reaches ฯ=12%, since ฯ=ฯฯpโ: 1ร12%, 53โร20%, 52โร30%. Their expected returns:
The line through A is the steepest of the three, so at any positive level of risk it offers the highest expected return.
Problem 4 ยท The Retiree's Portfolio
Given: suppose the tangency portfolio is A, with E[RAโ]=8% and ฯAโ=12% per year, holding three stocks, Osprey, Plover and Robin, in weights 21โ, 103โ and 51โ. T-bills pay rfโ=3%. A cautious retiree with $150,000 keeps 54โ of it in T-bills and puts the rest in A.
How much does she hold in Plover?
Her portfolio's expected return and risk?
โ Correct! She holds Plover and Robin in the ratio 103โ:51โ=3:2, exactly as a hedge fund manager holding A does; only her T-bill share is different, and it puts her low on the line, close to rfโ.
โ Not quite.103โร$150,000 treats all her money as invested in A; only 51โ of it is.
โ Not quite. That applies Plover's weight to the 54โ she keeps in T-bills; T-bills hold no stocks.
โ Not quite. $30,000 is her whole holding of A; Plover is only 103โ of it.
โ Check the Plover holding. Multiply her wealth by the share in A, then by Plover's weight inside A.
โ Not quite. That uses ฯ=54โ, the T-bill share; her weight on A is ฯ=51โ.
โ Close, butโฆ the expected return is right, but T-bills are riskless, so her risk shrinks with her weight in A: ฯ=51โร12%.
โ Not quite.51โร8%=1.6% forgets the 3% her T-bills earn on the other 54โ.
โ Check the mix. Use ฯ=51โ in both formulas.
Show solution
Her weight on A is ฯ=1โ54โ=51โ, so she has 51โร$150,000=$30,000 in A, and Plover is 103โ of that:
103โร$30,000=$9,000
Her expected return and risk:
E[R]=3%+51โ(8%โ3%)=4%,ฯ=51โร12%=2.4%
Her stock holdings, $15,000 in Osprey, $9,000 in Plover and $6,000 in Robin, are in the proportions 21โ:103โ:51โ of the tangency portfolio. Every investor holds the same stocks in the same proportions; risk tolerance only sets ฯ.