Finance-Theory Β· Unit 18 Β· Video 2 Β· Interactive Practice

From the Tangency Line to Beta: Pricing Assets That Are Not Efficient

IKey Formulas

FormulaNameApplies to
E[Rp]=Rf+ΟƒpΟƒm(E[Rm]βˆ’Rf)\mathsf{E}[R_p] = R_f + \dfrac{\sigma_p}{\sigma_m}\left(\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f\right)Tangency line (capital market line)Efficient portfolios only: mixes of T-bills and the market portfolio MM
Ξ²i=Cov⁑[Ri,Rm]Var⁑[Rm]=ρim σiΟƒm\beta_i = \dfrac{\operatorname{Cov}[R_i, R_m]}{\operatorname{Var}[R_m]} = \dfrac{\rho_{im}\,\sigma_i}{\sigma_m}Market betaAny asset; the second form uses Cov⁑[Ri,Rm]=ρimΟƒiΟƒm\operatorname{Cov}[R_i, R_m] = \rho_{im}\sigma_i\sigma_m
E[Ri]=Rf+Ξ²i(E[Rm]βˆ’Rf)\mathsf{E}[R_i] = R_f + \beta_i\left(\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f\right)Sharpe–Lintner CAPMAny asset: a stock, a project, a portfolio, efficient or not
βp=σpσm\beta_p = \dfrac{\sigma_p}{\sigma_m}Efficient special caseA portfolio on the tangency line, where the CAPM reduces to the line's equation

Key Insight: The tangency line prices risk by Οƒp/Οƒm\sigma_p/\sigma_m, which is right only for portfolios on the line. For any asset the multiplier on the market risk premium is Ξ²i\beta_i, which counts only the part of its risk that moves with the market, so beta, not sigma, sets the cost of capital.

IIThe Tangency Line's Equation

Along the line, each point of volatility adds the slope (E[Rm]βˆ’Rf)/Οƒm(\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f)/\sigma_m to expected return above RfR_f.

IIIBeta Prices What Sigma Cannot

A stock rarely lies on the tangency line; the CAPM places it by beta, Ξ²i=ρimΟƒi/Οƒm\beta_i = \rho_{im}\sigma_i/\sigma_m, instead.

IVThe Efficient Special Case

For a mix of T-bills and MM, beta equals Οƒp/Οƒm\sigma_p/\sigma_m, so the CAPM collapses back to the tangency line.

Step 1 β€” The efficient portfolio

Rp=Ο‰Rm+(1βˆ’Ο‰)RfR_p = \omega R_m + (1 - \omega) R_f

πŸ’‘ Sigma is the right risk measure only in this special case; for every other asset the CAPM rate Rf+Ξ²i(E[Rm]βˆ’Rf)R_f + \beta_i(\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f) is the discount rate an NPV calculation needs.

VQuiz Questions

Problem 1 Β· An Efficient Portfolio's Expected Return

Given: Rf=3%R_f = 3\%, the market risk premium E[Rm]βˆ’Rf=8%\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f = 8\% and Οƒm=20%\sigma_m = 20\%, all per year. An efficient portfolio (T-bills plus MM) has Οƒp=25%\sigma_p = 25\% per year. Find its expected return per year.

βœ… Correct! The portfolio is 1.251.25 times as risky as the market, so it earns 1.251.25 times the market premium on top of RfR_f.
❌ Not quite. 11%11\% is E[Rm]\mathsf{E}[R_m], the return at Οƒp=Οƒm\sigma_p = \sigma_m. Here Οƒp/Οƒm=1.25\sigma_p/\sigma_m = 1.25, above 1, so the portfolio earns more than the market.
❌ Not quite. 1.25Γ—8%=10%1.25 \times 8\% = 10\% is only the risk premium; the base return Rf=3%R_f = 3\% still has to be added.
❌ Close, but… the multiplier applies to the market's excess return, 8%8\%, not to E[Rm]=11%\mathsf{E}[R_m] = 11\%: 3%+1.25Γ—11%=16.75%3\% + 1.25 \times 11\% = 16.75\% counts RfR_f twice.
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A portfolio of T-bills and MM lies on the tangency line, so its expected return comes from the line's equation:

E[Rp]=Rf+ΟƒpΟƒm(E[Rm]βˆ’Rf)=3%+25%20%Γ—8%=3%+1.25Γ—8%=3%+10%=13%\mathsf{E}[R_p] = R_f + \frac{\sigma_p}{\sigma_m}\left(\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f\right) = 3\% + \frac{25\%}{20\%}\times 8\% = 3\% + 1.25 \times 8\% = 3\% + 10\% = 13\%

The slope is 8%/20%=0.48\%/20\% = 0.4: each percentage point of volatility adds 0.40.4 points of expected return, and 25Γ—0.4=1025 \times 0.4 = 10 points above RfR_f.

Problem 2 Β· A Stock Is Not on the Line

Given: Rf=3%R_f = 3\%, E[Rm]βˆ’Rf=8%\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f = 8\%, Οƒm=20%\sigma_m = 20\% per year. A stock has volatility Οƒi=36%\sigma_i = 36\% per year and correlation ρim=0.5\rho_{im} = 0.5 with the market. Find its expected return per year under the CAPM.

βœ… Correct! Only the co-moving part of the stock's volatility, ρimΟƒi=18%\rho_{im}\sigma_i = 18\%, is priced: Ξ²i=0.9\beta_i = 0.9.
❌ That is the tangency-line answer. 3%+(36/20)Γ—8%=17.4%3\% + (36/20) \times 8\% = 17.4\% treats the stock as efficient. A single stock is not on the line, so its multiplier is Ξ²i\beta_i, not Οƒi/Οƒm\sigma_i/\sigma_m.
❌ Not quite. The beta is right, but it multiplies the premium 8%8\%, not E[Rm]=11%\mathsf{E}[R_m] = 11\%.
❌ Not quite. That uses ρimΟƒm/Οƒiβ‰ˆ0.28\rho_{im}\sigma_m/\sigma_i \approx 0.28. Beta scales the asset's volatility by the market's: ρimΟƒi/Οƒm\rho_{im}\sigma_i/\sigma_m.
Show solution

Beta from correlation and volatilities:

Ξ²i=ρim σiΟƒm=0.5Γ—36%20%=18%20%=0.9\beta_i = \frac{\rho_{im}\,\sigma_i}{\sigma_m} = \frac{0.5 \times 36\%}{20\%} = \frac{18\%}{20\%} = 0.9

Then the CAPM, which holds for any asset:

E[Ri]=Rf+Ξ²i(E[Rm]βˆ’Rf)=3%+0.9Γ—8%=3%+7.2%=10.2%\mathsf{E}[R_i] = R_f + \beta_i\left(\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f\right) = 3\% + 0.9 \times 8\% = 3\% + 7.2\% = 10.2\%

The tangency line would claim 17.4%17.4\% at Οƒ=36%\sigma = 36\%; the stock sits 7.27.2 points below it, because, with a correlation of one half, only half its volatility counts toward its market risk.

Problem 3 Β· Beta from Covariance

Given: with returns written as decimals per year, Cov⁑[Ri,Rm]=0.012\operatorname{Cov}[R_i, R_m] = 0.012, Οƒm=20%\sigma_m = 20\% and Οƒi=45%\sigma_i = 45\%. Again Rf=3%R_f = 3\% and E[Rm]βˆ’Rf=8%\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f = 8\% per year. Find the stock's beta and its CAPM expected return.

What is Ξ²i\beta_i?

What is E[Ri]\mathsf{E}[R_i] per year?

βœ… Correct! A very volatile stock with a low beta: most of its 45%45\% volatility does not move with the market, and the CAPM pays only for the part that does.
❌ Not quite. 0.012/0.20=0.060.012/0.20 = 0.06 divides by Οƒm\sigma_m. Beta divides by the market's variance, Οƒm2=0.04\sigma_m^2 = 0.04.
❌ Not quite. 0.012/(0.45Γ—0.20)β‰ˆ0.130.012/(0.45 \times 0.20) \approx 0.13 is the correlation ρim\rho_{im}, not beta. Beta divides the covariance by Var⁑[Rm]\operatorname{Var}[R_m] alone.
❌ Not quite. Οƒi/Οƒm=2.25\sigma_i/\sigma_m = 2.25 is the tangency-line multiplier, valid only for efficient portfolios. Use Cov⁑[Ri,Rm]/Var⁑[Rm]\operatorname{Cov}[R_i, R_m]/\operatorname{Var}[R_m].
❌ Check the beta. βi=Cov⁑[Ri,Rm]/Var⁑[Rm]\beta_i = \operatorname{Cov}[R_i, R_m]/\operatorname{Var}[R_m], with Var⁑[Rm]=0.202\operatorname{Var}[R_m] = 0.20^2.
❌ That is the tangency-line answer. 3%+2.25Γ—8%=21%3\% + 2.25 \times 8\% = 21\% prices the stock as if it were efficient. Use Ξ²i=0.3\beta_i = 0.3.
❌ Not quite. 3%+0.3Γ—11%=6.3%3\% + 0.3 \times 11\% = 6.3\% multiplies E[Rm]\mathsf{E}[R_m]; beta multiplies the premium, 8%8\%.
❌ Not quite. 3%+0.06Γ—8%=3.48%3\% + 0.06 \times 8\% = 3.48\% uses Ξ²i=0.012/0.20=0.06\beta_i = 0.012/0.20 = 0.06, which divides the covariance by Οƒm\sigma_m instead of Var⁑[Rm]=0.04\operatorname{Var}[R_m] = 0.04.
❌ Check the expected return. Use E[Ri]=Rf+Ξ²iΓ—8%\mathsf{E}[R_i] = R_f + \beta_i \times 8\% with Ξ²i=0.3\beta_i = 0.3.
Show solution

Step 1: Beta. The market's variance is Var⁑[Rm]=0.202=0.04\operatorname{Var}[R_m] = 0.20^2 = 0.04, so

βi=Cov⁑[Ri,Rm]Var⁑[Rm]=0.0120.04=0.3\beta_i = \frac{\operatorname{Cov}[R_i, R_m]}{\operatorname{Var}[R_m]} = \frac{0.012}{0.04} = 0.3

Step 2: CAPM.

E[Ri]=3%+0.3Γ—8%=3%+2.4%=5.4%\mathsf{E}[R_i] = 3\% + 0.3 \times 8\% = 3\% + 2.4\% = 5.4\%

Check: the correlation is ρim=0.012/(0.45Γ—0.20)β‰ˆ0.133\rho_{im} = 0.012/(0.45 \times 0.20) \approx 0.133, and ρimΟƒi/Οƒm=0.012/0.04=0.3\rho_{im}\sigma_i/\sigma_m = 0.012/0.04 = 0.3 β€” the same beta. The tangency line would have asked 21%21\% of this stock, almost four times the CAPM rate.

Problem 4 Β· Same Beta, Same Rate

Given: Rf=3%R_f = 3\%, E[Rm]βˆ’Rf=8%\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f = 8\%, Οƒm=20%\sigma_m = 20\% per year. Portfolio PP is a mix of T-bills and MM with Οƒp=14%\sigma_p = 14\%. A firm is also pricing a project with Ξ²=0.7\beta = 0.7 and Οƒ=35%\sigma = 35\% per year. Find the expected return on PP and the project's discount rate (cost of capital).

Expected return on PP

The project's discount rate

βœ… Correct! PP has Ξ²p=Οƒp/Οƒm=0.7\beta_p = \sigma_p/\sigma_m = 0.7, the project's beta, so both earn 8.6%8.6\% even though the project is 2.52.5 times as volatile.
❌ Not quite. Only the efficient portfolio with Οƒp=Οƒm\sigma_p = \sigma_m earns E[Rm]=11%\mathsf{E}[R_m] = 11\%; PP holds Ο‰=14/20=0.7\omega = 14/20 = 0.7 in MM and the rest in T-bills.
❌ Not quite. 0.7Γ—8%=5.6%0.7 \times 8\% = 5.6\% is only the risk premium; the base return Rf=3%R_f = 3\% still has to be added.
❌ Not quite. 3%+0.7Γ—11%=10.7%3\% + 0.7 \times 11\% = 10.7\% multiplies E[Rm]\mathsf{E}[R_m]; the multiplier (Οƒp/Οƒm\sigma_p/\sigma_m for PP, Ξ²\beta for the project) applies to the premium, 8%8\%.
❌ Check PP. On the tangency line, E[Rp]=Rf+(Οƒp/Οƒm)Γ—8%\mathsf{E}[R_p] = R_f + (\sigma_p/\sigma_m) \times 8\%: keep the RfR_f and multiply the premium, not E[Rm]\mathsf{E}[R_m].
❌ That prices the project by sigma. 3%+(35/20)Γ—8%=17%3\% + (35/20) \times 8\% = 17\% is the tangency-line rate, valid only for efficient portfolios. A project is priced by its beta.
❌ Check the rate. The cost of capital is the CAPM return Rf+Ξ²(E[Rm]βˆ’Rf)R_f + \beta(\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f), with the 3%3\% base included and the 8%8\% premium multiplied.
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Portfolio PP is efficient, so the tangency line applies:

E[Rp]=3%+14%20%Γ—8%=3%+0.7Γ—8%=3%+5.6%=8.6%\mathsf{E}[R_p] = 3\% + \frac{14\%}{20\%} \times 8\% = 3\% + 0.7 \times 8\% = 3\% + 5.6\% = 8.6\%

The project is not an efficient portfolio, so its discount rate comes from the CAPM:

r=Rf+Ξ²(E[Rm]βˆ’Rf)=3%+0.7Γ—8%=8.6%r = R_f + \beta\left(\mathsf{E}[R_m] - R_f\right) = 3\% + 0.7 \times 8\% = 8.6\%

The two answers agree because Ξ²p=Οƒp/Οƒm=0.7\beta_p = \sigma_p/\sigma_m = 0.7: the CAPM gives both the same rate since they share a beta, whatever their volatilities. Pricing the project by Οƒ\sigma instead would demand 17%17\% and reject projects that earn their true cost of capital.

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