Finance-Theory · Unit 18 · Video 4 · Interactive Practice

Portfolio Beta Is a Weighted Average: Microsoft vs Gillette

IKey Formulas

FormulaNameWhat it says
βp=ω1β1+⋯+ωnβn\beta_p = \omega_1 \beta_1 + \cdots + \omega_n \beta_nPortfolio betaCovariance is linear in each argument, so dividing Cov[Rp,Rm]=∑iωiCov[Ri,Rm]\text{Cov}[R_p, R_m] = \sum_i \omega_i \text{Cov}[R_i, R_m] by Var[Rm]\text{Var}[R_m] gives a weighted average of betas
σp2=∑iωi2σi2+∑i≠jωiωjCov[Ri,Rj]\sigma_p^2 = \sum_i \omega_i^2 \sigma_i^2 + \sum_{i \ne j} \omega_i \omega_j \text{Cov}[R_i, R_j]Portfolio varianceNot linear: the cross products mean it cannot be read off the components one at a time
E[Rp]=Rf+βp(E[Rm]−Rf)\text{E}[R_p] = R_f + \beta_p \left( \text{E}[R_m] - R_f \right)SML for a portfolio or projectThe weights sum to one, so RfR_f appears once; the risk adjustment is βp\beta_p times the market risk premium
Δσp2≈2ωiσm2(βi−1)\Delta \sigma_p^2 \approx 2\omega_i \sigma_m^2 (\beta_i - 1)Small weight ωi\omega_i moved from the market fund into stock iiVariance rises when βi>1\beta_i > 1 and falls when βi<1\beta_i < 1

Key Insight: The required rate of return, the opportunity cost of capital and the risk-adjusted discount rate are one quantity. For a project, take the beta of comparable stocks, put it into the security market line, and the result is the project's discount rate.

IIBeta Averages, So the Portfolio Lands on the SML

With Rf=4%R_f = 4\% and a 7.5%7.5\% premium, a mix of three stocks is priced at its weighted-average beta.

IIIA Sliver of One Stock in the Market Fund

Moving a small weight from fund MM into one stock raises your variance, to first order, exactly when βi>1\beta_i > 1.

💡 The approximation holds for a small weight ωi\omega_i: it drops the terms in ωi2\omega_i^2, which shrink much faster than ωi\omega_i. Those terms add up to ωi2(σm2−2 Cov[Ri,Rm]+σi2)=ωi2 Var[Ri−Rm]\omega_i^2\left(\sigma_m^2 - 2\,\text{Cov}[R_i, R_m] + \sigma_i^2\right) = \omega_i^2\,\text{Var}[R_i - R_m], which is never negative, so for a larger weight even a βi<1\beta_i < 1 stock can end up adding variance. Whether the trade is worth making also depends on the expected return the SML assigns to that extra risk.

IVPricing a Project from Its Comparables

A project's discount rate is the SML return at its comparable stocks' beta: RfR_f plus a risk adjustment.

VQuiz Questions

Problem 1 · Portfolio Beta

Given: A portfolio holds 20%20\% in a stock with β=1.3\beta = 1.3, 30%30\% in a stock with β=0.6\beta = 0.6 and 50%50\% in a stock with β=0.9\beta = 0.9. Find the portfolio's beta.

✅ Correct! 0.2(1.3)+0.3(0.6)+0.5(0.9)=0.26+0.18+0.45=0.890.2(1.3) + 0.3(0.6) + 0.5(0.9) = 0.26 + 0.18 + 0.45 = 0.89. Each beta is weighted by its own stock's share.
❌ Not quite. That pairs the weights with the wrong betas (0.2×0.6+0.3×0.9+0.5×1.30.2 \times 0.6 + 0.3 \times 0.9 + 0.5 \times 1.3). The 50%50\% weight belongs to the β=0.9\beta = 0.9 stock.
❌ Not quite. (1.3+0.6+0.9)/3≈0.93(1.3 + 0.6 + 0.9)/3 \approx 0.93 is the equal-weighted average. Portfolio beta weights each beta by the fraction of the portfolio in that stock.
❌ Not quite. 0.5×0.9=0.450.5 \times 0.9 = 0.45 is only the largest holding's term. Add the terms for the other two stocks.
❌ Not quite. Use βp=ω1β1+ω2β2+ω3β3\beta_p = \omega_1 \beta_1 + \omega_2 \beta_2 + \omega_3 \beta_3.
Show solution

Covariance with the market is linear in the weights, so beta is too:

βp=0.2(1.3)+0.3(0.6)+0.5(0.9)=0.26+0.18+0.45=0.89\beta_p = 0.2(1.3) + 0.3(0.6) + 0.5(0.9) = 0.26 + 0.18 + 0.45 = 0.89

The weights are non-negative and sum to one, so βp\beta_p always lies between the smallest and the largest beta in the portfolio.

Problem 2 · Required Return of a Portfolio

Given: Rf=4%R_f = 4\% per year and a market risk premium E[Rm]−Rf=7.5%\text{E}[R_m] - R_f = 7.5\% per year. A portfolio holds 30%30\% in a stock with β=1.3\beta = 1.3, 50%50\% in a stock with β=0.6\beta = 0.6 and 20%20\% in a stock with β=0.9\beta = 0.9. Find the expected return the security market line requires of the portfolio.

✅ Correct! βp=0.87\beta_p = 0.87, so E[Rp]=4%+0.87×7.5%=4%+6.525%=10.525%\text{E}[R_p] = 4\% + 0.87 \times 7.5\% = 4\% + 6.525\% = 10.525\% per year.
❌ Close, but… 6.525%6.525\% is only the risk adjustment βp×7.5%\beta_p \times 7.5\%. Add the risk-free rate: the weights sum to one, so RfR_f appears exactly once.
❌ Not quite. That uses the equal-weighted beta (1.3+0.6+0.9)/3≈0.933(1.3 + 0.6 + 0.9)/3 \approx 0.933. Weight each beta by its holding: βp=0.87\beta_p = 0.87.
❌ Not quite. That is 4%+0.87×11.5%4\% + 0.87 \times 11.5\%: it multiplies βp\beta_p by the whole expected market return, 11.5%11.5\%. The SML multiplies beta by the premium E[Rm]−Rf=7.5%\text{E}[R_m] - R_f = 7.5\%.
❌ Not quite. Find βp\beta_p first, then use E[Rp]=Rf+βp(E[Rm]−Rf)\text{E}[R_p] = R_f + \beta_p(\text{E}[R_m] - R_f).
Show solution

Step 1: portfolio beta.

βp=0.3(1.3)+0.5(0.6)+0.2(0.9)=0.39+0.30+0.18=0.87\beta_p = 0.3(1.3) + 0.5(0.6) + 0.2(0.9) = 0.39 + 0.30 + 0.18 = 0.87

Step 2: security market line.

E[Rp]=4%+0.87×7.5%=4%+6.525%=10.525%\text{E}[R_p] = 4\% + 0.87 \times 7.5\% = 4\% + 6.525\% = 10.525\%

Check: the stocks' own SML returns are 13.75%13.75\%, 8.5%8.5\% and 10.75%10.75\%, and 0.3(13.75%)+0.5(8.5%)+0.2(10.75%)=4.125%+4.25%+2.15%=10.525%0.3(13.75\%) + 0.5(8.5\%) + 0.2(10.75\%) = 4.125\% + 4.25\% + 2.15\% = 10.525\%, the same number.

Problem 3 · Adding to the Market Fund

Given: You hold only the market fund MM, with variance σm2\sigma_m^2. You move 5%5\% of your money out of MM and into a stock with β=0.6\beta = 0.6. Find the approximate change in your portfolio's variance.

✅ Correct! 2(0.05)σm2(0.6−1)=−0.04 σm22(0.05)\sigma_m^2(0.6 - 1) = -0.04\,\sigma_m^2: the stock's covariance with MM, 0.6 σm20.6\,\sigma_m^2, is below the variance you already carry.
❌ Check the sign. βi−1=0.6−1=−0.4\beta_i - 1 = 0.6 - 1 = -0.4 is negative, so variance falls. A stock with β<1\beta < 1 adds less covariance than the σm2\sigma_m^2 it replaces.
❌ Not quite. 2(0.05)(0.6)=0.062(0.05)(0.6) = 0.06 uses βi\beta_i instead of βi−1\beta_i - 1. The weight comes out of MM, so what matters is how the stock's covariance compares with σm2\sigma_m^2.
❌ Close, but… the sign is right, but the factor 22 is missing: the cross term is 2ωi(1−ωi)Cov[Ri,Rm]2\omega_i(1 - \omega_i)\text{Cov}[R_i, R_m].
❌ Not quite. Use Δσp2≈2ωiσm2(βi−1)\Delta \sigma_p^2 \approx 2\omega_i \sigma_m^2 (\beta_i - 1).
Show solution

With weight ωi\omega_i in the stock and 1−ωi1 - \omega_i in MM:

σp2=(1−ωi)2σm2+2ωi(1−ωi)Cov[Ri,Rm]+ωi2σi2\sigma_p^2 = (1 - \omega_i)^2 \sigma_m^2 + 2\omega_i(1 - \omega_i)\text{Cov}[R_i, R_m] + \omega_i^2 \sigma_i^2

Dropping the terms in ωi2\omega_i^2, the change from σm2\sigma_m^2 is

Δσp2≈2ωi(Cov[Ri,Rm]−σm2)=2ωiσm2(βi−1)\Delta \sigma_p^2 \approx 2\omega_i\left(\text{Cov}[R_i, R_m] - \sigma_m^2\right) = 2\omega_i \sigma_m^2 (\beta_i - 1) =2(0.05)σm2(0.6−1)=−0.04 σm2= 2(0.05)\sigma_m^2(0.6 - 1) = -0.04\,\sigma_m^2

Variance falls by about 4%4\% of the market variance.

Problem 4 · The Firm's Rate or the Project's?

Given: A firm has three divisions making up 50%50\%, 30%30\% and 20%20\% of its value. Comparable stocks for the three businesses have betas 0.90.9, 1.31.3 and 0.60.6. Rf=4%R_f = 4\% and the market risk premium is 7.5%7.5\%, both per year. Find the firm's beta, then the discount rate for a new project in the β=0.6\beta = 0.6 business.

What is the firm's beta?

What is the project's discount rate?

✅ Correct! The firm's beta is 0.960.96 (cost of capital 11.2%11.2\%), but the project carries the risk of its own business: 4%+0.6×7.5%=8.5%4\% + 0.6 \times 7.5\% = 8.5\%.
❌ Not quite. (0.9+1.3+0.6)/3≈0.93(0.9 + 1.3 + 0.6)/3 \approx 0.93 treats the three divisions as equal. Weight each beta by its division's share of firm value.
❌ Not quite. 0.5(1.3)+0.3(0.6)+0.2(0.9)=1.010.5(1.3) + 0.3(0.6) + 0.2(0.9) = 1.01 pairs the shares with the wrong betas. The 50%50\% division has comparables with β=0.9\beta = 0.9, the 30%30\% one β=1.3\beta = 1.3, the 20%20\% one β=0.6\beta = 0.6.
❌ Not quite. 1.31.3 is the riskiest division's beta. The firm is a portfolio of its divisions, so its beta is their value-weighted average.
❌ Check the firm's beta. Weight each division's beta by its share of value: 0.5(0.9)+0.3(1.3)+0.2(0.6)0.5(0.9) + 0.3(1.3) + 0.2(0.6).
❌ Not quite. 11.2%11.2\% is the firm's own cost of capital, priced at β=0.96\beta = 0.96. A project is priced by the beta of its own comparables, not by the average risk of the firm that undertakes it.
❌ Close, but… 0.6×7.5%=4.5%0.6 \times 7.5\% = 4.5\% is only the risk adjustment. Add Rf=4%R_f = 4\%.
❌ Not quite. 10.75%10.75\% prices the largest division (β=0.9\beta = 0.9). The project belongs to the β=0.6\beta = 0.6 business.
❌ Not quite. Put the comparables' beta into Rf+β(E[Rm]−Rf)R_f + \beta(\text{E}[R_m] - R_f).
Show solution

Firm beta (a portfolio of its divisions):

βfirm=0.5(0.9)+0.3(1.3)+0.2(0.6)=0.45+0.39+0.12=0.96\beta_{\text{firm}} = 0.5(0.9) + 0.3(1.3) + 0.2(0.6) = 0.45 + 0.39 + 0.12 = 0.96

The firm as a whole requires 4%+0.96×7.5%=4%+7.2%=11.2%4\% + 0.96 \times 7.5\% = 4\% + 7.2\% = 11.2\%.

Project rate. The project's risk is that of the β=0.6\beta = 0.6 business, so its comparables set the rate:

E[R]=4%+0.6×7.5%=4%+4.5%=8.5%\text{E}[R] = 4\% + 0.6 \times 7.5\% = 4\% + 4.5\% = 8.5\%

Discounting it at 11.2%11.2\% would undervalue it, because its cash flows are less exposed to the market than the firm's average business.

Solved: 0 / 4