Finance-Theory ยท Unit 18 ยท Video 5 ยท Interactive Practice

Same Return, Same Volatility, Different Alpha: Judging Managers by Beta

IKey Formulas

FormulaNameWhat it says
E[Ri]=Rf+ฮฒi(E[Rm]โˆ’Rf)\text{E}[R_i] = R_f + \beta_i(\text{E}[R_m] - R_f)Security market line (SML)The return any asset, project or fund is required to earn; the risk measure is ฮฒi\beta_i, not ฯƒi\sigma_i
ฮฑi=E[Ri]โˆ’{Rf+ฮฒi(E[Rm]โˆ’Rf)}\alpha_i = \text{E}[R_i] - \{R_f + \beta_i(\text{E}[R_m] - R_f)\}AlphaReturn delivered minus return required: the vertical distance from the SML, positive above it and negative below it
ฮฒi=Cov[Ri,Rm]Var[Rm]=ฯimโ€‰ฯƒiฯƒm\beta_i = \dfrac{\text{Cov}[R_i, R_m]}{\text{Var}[R_m]} = \rho_{im}\,\dfrac{\sigma_i}{\sigma_m}Beta from correlationEqual volatilities can carry very different betas when the correlations with the market differ
ฯ=1โ€…โ€Šโ‡’โ€…โ€Šฮฒp=ฯƒpฯƒm\rho = 1 \;\Rightarrow\; \beta_p = \dfrac{\sigma_p}{\sigma_m}Efficient portfoliosA mix of T-bills and MM has ฯ=1\rho = 1, so the SML and the capital market line give the same required return

Key Insight: Two funds with the same average return and the same volatility can have opposite alphas: the SML charges each for its beta, and volatility that is not correlated with the market earns no reward.

IIAlpha as a Vertical Distance

Alpha is the vertical gap between a fund's average return and the SML's required return at its beta.

IIISame Volatility, Different Beta

With volatility fixed at 25%25\%, correlation with the market alone sets beta, and with it the required return.

IVQuiz Questions

Problem 1 ยท Alpha of a High-Beta Manager

Given (per year): Rf=3.5%R_f = 3.5\% and a market risk premium E[Rm]โˆ’Rf=6.5%\text{E}[R_m] - R_f = 6.5\%. A manager has averaged 11%11\% with ฮฒ=1.4\beta = 1.4. Find the manager's alpha against the security market line.

โœ… Correct! The line requires 3.5%+1.4ร—6.5%=12.6%3.5\% + 1.4 \times 6.5\% = 12.6\% for this much market risk; 11%11\% falls 1.61.6 points short, so the manager sits below the SML.
โŒ The intercept is missing. 11%โˆ’1.4ร—6.5%=1.9%11\% - 1.4 \times 6.5\% = 1.9\% leaves out RfR_f; the required return is RfR_f plus the risk premium, 3.5%+9.1%=12.6%3.5\% + 9.1\% = 12.6\%.
โŒ Check the sign. Alpha is delivered minus required, 11%โˆ’12.6%11\% - 12.6\%, not the other way round; a fund below the line has negative alpha.
โŒ Premium, not market return. 11%โˆ’1.4ร—10%=โˆ’3%11\% - 1.4 \times 10\% = -3\% multiplies ฮฒ\beta by the whole market return E[Rm]=10%\text{E}[R_m] = 10\% and drops RfR_f; ฮฒ\beta multiplies the premium 6.5%6.5\%, and RfR_f is added on top.
โŒ Not quite. Compute the required return Rf+ฮฒ(E[Rm]โˆ’Rf)R_f + \beta(\text{E}[R_m] - R_f) first, then subtract it from 11%11\%.
Show solution

The SML gives the return a ฮฒ=1.4\beta = 1.4 investment is required to earn:

Rf+ฮฒ(E[Rm]โˆ’Rf)=3.5%+1.4ร—6.5%=3.5%+9.1%=12.6%R_f + \beta(\text{E}[R_m] - R_f) = 3.5\% + 1.4 \times 6.5\% = 3.5\% + 9.1\% = 12.6\%

Alpha is what the manager delivered minus that requirement:

ฮฑ=11%โˆ’12.6%=โˆ’1.6%\alpha = 11\% - 12.6\% = -1.6\%

The manager underperforms by 1.61.6 percentage points a year given the market risk the fund carries.

Problem 2 ยท Equal on Return and Risk?

Given (per year): Rf=3.5%R_f = 3.5\%, market risk premium 6.5%6.5\%. Three managers each averaged 11%11\% with volatility ฯƒ=25%\sigma = 25\%; their betas are 0.40.4, 1.11.1 and 1.41.4. Which statement is right?

โœ… Correct! A ฮฒ\beta of 0.40.4 requires only 3.5%+2.6%=6.1%3.5\% + 2.6\% = 6.1\%, so 11%11\% beats the line by 4.94.9 points; the other two have ฮฑ=+0.35%\alpha = +0.35\% and ฮฑ=โˆ’1.6%\alpha = -1.6\%.
โŒ Same ฯƒ\sigma, not same risk. The Sharpe ratios are equal, but the SML prices risk by ฮฒ\beta: the three are required to earn 6.1%6.1\%, 10.65%10.65\% and 12.6%12.6\%, so their alphas differ.
โŒ Backwards. More market risk raises the required return to 12.6%12.6\%, so the same 11%11\% is a shortfall: ฮฑ=โˆ’1.6%\alpha = -1.6\%.
โŒ On the line is par, not skill. ฮฑ=11%โˆ’10.65%=+0.35%\alpha = 11\% - 10.65\% = +0.35\% means this manager earns about what its ฮฒ\beta requires; anyone holding T-bills and the market could do that.
โŒ Not quite. Compute each manager's required return from its ฮฒ\beta, then compare alphas.
Show solution

Required return 3.5%+ฮฒร—6.5%3.5\% + \beta \times 6.5\% and alpha 11%โˆ’required11\% - \text{required} for each manager:

  • ฮฒ=0.4\beta = 0.4: 3.5%+2.6%=6.1%3.5\% + 2.6\% = 6.1\%, so ฮฑ=11%โˆ’6.1%=+4.9%\alpha = 11\% - 6.1\% = +4.9\%
  • ฮฒ=1.1\beta = 1.1: 3.5%+7.15%=10.65%3.5\% + 7.15\% = 10.65\%, so ฮฑ=11%โˆ’10.65%=+0.35%\alpha = 11\% - 10.65\% = +0.35\%
  • ฮฒ=1.4\beta = 1.4: 3.5%+9.1%=12.6%3.5\% + 9.1\% = 12.6\%, so ฮฑ=11%โˆ’12.6%=โˆ’1.6%\alpha = 11\% - 12.6\% = -1.6\%

Measured by ฯƒ\sigma the three are identical, with the same Sharpe ratio 7.5/25=0.37.5/25 = 0.3. Measured against the SML, only the low-beta manager adds return beyond what its market risk requires.

Problem 3 ยท From Beta Back to Correlation

Given (per year): the market's volatility is ฯƒm=17.5%\sigma_m = 17.5\% and each of the managers above has ฯƒp=25%\sigma_p = 25\%. Find the correlation with the market implied by ฮฒ=0.4\beta = 0.4 and by ฮฒ=1.4\beta = 1.4.

Correlation for ฮฒ=0.4\beta = 0.4?

Correlation for ฮฒ=1.4\beta = 1.4?

โœ… Correct! ฯ=ฮฒโ€‰ฯƒm/ฯƒp=ฮฒร—0.7\rho = \beta\,\sigma_m/\sigma_p = \beta \times 0.7: 0.280.28 and 0.980.98. Same volatility, very different co-movement with the market.
โŒ Beta is not correlation. ฮฒ=ฯโ€‰ฯƒp/ฯƒm\beta = \rho\,\sigma_p/\sigma_m also scales by the volatility ratio 25/17.525/17.5; a correlation can never exceed 11, while a beta can.
โŒ Ratio upside down. Solving ฮฒ=ฯโ€‰ฯƒp/ฯƒm\beta = \rho\,\sigma_p/\sigma_m for ฯ\rho gives ฯ=ฮฒโ€‰ฯƒm/ฯƒp\rho = \beta\,\sigma_m/\sigma_p, with ฯƒm=17.5%\sigma_m = 17.5\% on top; a value above 11 is a sure sign of the flip.
โŒ Beta left out. 17.5/25=0.717.5/25 = 0.7 is the volatility ratio alone, which is the same for every manager; multiply it by each manager's ฮฒ\beta.
โŒ Check the first correlation. Use ฯ=ฮฒโ€‰ฯƒm/ฯƒp\rho = \beta\,\sigma_m/\sigma_p with ฮฒ=0.4\beta = 0.4.
โŒ Check the second correlation. Use ฯ=ฮฒโ€‰ฯƒm/ฯƒp\rho = \beta\,\sigma_m/\sigma_p with ฮฒ=1.4\beta = 1.4.
Show solution

From ฮฒ=ฯโ€‰ฯƒpฯƒm\beta = \rho\,\dfrac{\sigma_p}{\sigma_m}, solve for the correlation:

ฯ=ฮฒโ€‰ฯƒmฯƒp=ฮฒร—17.525=ฮฒร—0.7\rho = \beta\,\frac{\sigma_m}{\sigma_p} = \beta \times \frac{17.5}{25} = \beta \times 0.7 ฮฒ=0.4:ย ฯ=0.4ร—0.7=0.28ฮฒ=1.4:ย ฯ=1.4ร—0.7=0.98\beta = 0.4:\ \rho = 0.4 \times 0.7 = 0.28 \qquad \beta = 1.4:\ \rho = 1.4 \times 0.7 = 0.98

Both funds swing by 25%25\% a year, but only the second moves almost in lockstep with the market. The low-beta fund's volatility is mostly its own, and the SML pays nothing for it.

Problem 4 ยท The One Case Where Volatility Sets the Price

Given (per year): Rf=3.5%R_f = 3.5\%, market risk premium 6.5%6.5\%, ฯƒm=17.5%\sigma_m = 17.5\%. An efficient portfolio, a mix of T-bills and the market portfolio MM, has ฯƒp=25%\sigma_p = 25\%. Find its beta and its required expected return.

What is its beta?

What expected return is it required to earn?

โœ… Correct! An efficient portfolio has ฯ=1\rho = 1, so ฮฒp=25/17.5โ‰ˆ1.43\beta_p = 25/17.5 \approx 1.43 and the SML and the capital market line agree at about 12.79%12.79\%. The three managers share this ฯƒ\sigma but have ฯ<1\rho < 1, so none of them is required to earn 12.79%12.79\%: their betas, not their volatility, set the bar.
โŒ Ratio upside down. With ฯ=1\rho = 1, ฮฒp=ฯƒp/ฯƒm=25/17.5\beta_p = \sigma_p/\sigma_m = 25/17.5; 17.5/25=0.717.5/25 = 0.7 is the inverse.
โŒ Not the market itself. Only a portfolio fully in MM has ฮฒ=1\beta = 1; a volatility of 25%25\% above the market's 17.5%17.5\% means about 143%143\% in MM, financed by borrowing at RfR_f.
โŒ The whole position counts. 0.430.43 is only the borrowed part; all of the roughly 143%143\% held in MM carries market risk, so ฮฒp=25/17.5โ‰ˆ1.43\beta_p = 25/17.5 \approx 1.43.
โŒ That is the market's return. 3.5%+6.5%=10%3.5\% + 6.5\% = 10\% is the requirement for ฮฒ=1\beta = 1; this portfolio carries more market risk than MM.
โŒ The intercept is missing. 2517.5ร—6.5%โ‰ˆ9.29%\tfrac{25}{17.5} \times 6.5\% \approx 9.29\% is only the risk premium; add Rf=3.5%R_f = 3.5\%.
โŒ Ratio upside down. 3.5%+0.7ร—6.5%=8.05%3.5\% + 0.7 \times 6.5\% = 8.05\% uses ฯƒm/ฯƒp\sigma_m/\sigma_p; the multiplier on the premium is ฯƒp/ฯƒm\sigma_p/\sigma_m.
โŒ Check the beta. For an efficient portfolio ฯ=1\rho = 1, so ฮฒp=ฯƒp/ฯƒm\beta_p = \sigma_p/\sigma_m.
โŒ Check the required return. Use E[Rp]=Rf+ฯƒpฯƒm(E[Rm]โˆ’Rf)\text{E}[R_p] = R_f + \dfrac{\sigma_p}{\sigma_m}(\text{E}[R_m] - R_f).
Show solution

A mix of T-bills and MM moves exactly with the market, so ฯ=1\rho = 1 and

ฮฒp=ฯโ€‰ฯƒpฯƒm=1ร—2517.5=107โ‰ˆ1.43\beta_p = \rho\,\frac{\sigma_p}{\sigma_m} = 1 \times \frac{25}{17.5} = \frac{10}{7} \approx 1.43

The capital market line and the SML give the same required return:

E[Rp]=3.5%+107ร—6.5%=3.5%+657%โ‰ˆ3.5%+9.29%=12.79%\text{E}[R_p] = 3.5\% + \frac{10}{7} \times 6.5\% = 3.5\% + \frac{65}{7}\% \approx 3.5\% + 9.29\% = 12.79\%

The managers in Problem 2 have the same ฯƒp=25%\sigma_p = 25\% but correlations below 11, so they are not efficient. For them ฯƒ\sigma overstates the priced risk, and the SML with each manager's own ฮฒ\beta is the right yardstick.

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