Finance-Theory ยท Unit 2 ยท Video 4 ยท Interactive Practice

An Asset Is Its Cashflows, Dated From Today Forward

IKey Formulas

FormulaNameWhat it says
Assettโ‰ก{CFt,CFt+1,CFt+2,โ€ฆ}\text{Asset}_t \equiv \{\text{CF}_t, \text{CF}_{t+1}, \text{CF}_{t+2}, \ldots\}An asset is a sequence of cashflowsThe asset at date tt is its cashflows from tt forward, running on without end
Assettโˆ’10โ‰ก{CFtโˆ’10,CFtโˆ’9,โ€ฆ}\text{Asset}_{t-10} \equiv \{\text{CF}_{t-10}, \text{CF}_{t-9}, \ldots\}The date is part of the assetNo past cashflow appears; a different date gives a different sequence, so a different asset
CFsโˆˆR\text{CF}_s \in \mathbb{R}Entries are real numbersPositive or negative (a negative entry is money leaving you), known or not
{0,0,0,โ€ฆ}\{0, 0, 0, \ldots\}The zero assetAdmissible: a patent that will never produce one additional dollar is worth nothing

Key Insight: The definition lists the entries in date order and never adds them together โ€” nothing has been summed yet. The concept is simple; the hard part is working out what the entries are.

IIWhere You Stand Decides the Asset

Same shares, different dates: the sequence starts where you stand, and no past cashflow appears in it.

IIIFrom an English Description to a Sequence

Boeing's regional jet, as dated entries in $MM: development money out first, then a level run.

IVOne Unknown Entry, No Ceiling

HP's option grant is a run of zeros and one year-10 entry: never negative, with no ceiling at the past high.

๐Ÿ’ก A sequence written out like this is the thing that gets valued โ€” putting a single number on it is what the next videos build.

VQuiz Questions

Problem 1 ยท Coca-Cola, a Century From Now

Given: today is date tt, and the asset is Coca-Cola a hundred years from now. Which sequence is Assett+100\text{Asset}_{t+100}?

โœ… Correct! The sequence opens at the date the asset is dated and runs forward without end; nothing dated before t+100t+100 appears in it.
โŒ Not quite. Standing a century from now, CFt\text{CF}_t through CFt+99\text{CF}_{t+99} are the past, and no past cashflow appears in the sequence. Nor does it stop at t+100t+100 โ€” it runs forward from there.
โŒ Not quite. Those are the right entries, but added up. The definition lists the entries in date order and never adds them together.
โŒ Close, butโ€ฆ CFt+100\text{CF}_{t+100} is only the first entry. The sequence continues with CFt+101,CFt+102,โ€ฆ\text{CF}_{t+101}, \text{CF}_{t+102}, \ldots without end.
Show solution

The first subscript dates the asset: Assetsโ‰ก{CFs,CFs+1,CFs+2,โ€ฆ}\text{Asset}_s \equiv \{\text{CF}_s, \text{CF}_{s+1}, \text{CF}_{s+2}, \ldots\}. Setting s=t+100s = t+100:

Assett+100โ‰ก{CFt+100,CFt+101,CFt+102,โ€ฆ}\text{Asset}_{t+100} \equiv \{\text{CF}_{t+100}, \text{CF}_{t+101}, \text{CF}_{t+102}, \ldots\}

Three properties of the definition rule out the other options: the sequence contains no past cashflow (not a), it runs forward without end (not d), and it is a list, not a sum (not c).

Set against Assettโ‰ก{CFt,CFt+1,โ€ฆ}\text{Asset}_t \equiv \{\text{CF}_t, \text{CF}_{t+1}, \ldots\} for Coca-Cola today, the entries differ โ€” so Coca-Cola today and Coca-Cola a century from now are two different assets.

Problem 2 ยท Which One Is Not an Asset?

Given: four candidate sequences, each dated from today. Which one fails the definition Assettโ‰ก{CFt,CFt+1,CFt+2,โ€ฆ}\text{Asset}_t \equiv \{\text{CF}_t, \text{CF}_{t+1}, \text{CF}_{t+2}, \ldots\}?

โœ… Correct! Every entry must be a real number, CFsโˆˆR\text{CF}_s \in \mathbb{R} โ€” there is no imaginary component to money changing hands.
โŒ Not quite. An all-negative sequence is something you would not want to own โ€” in ordinary language, a liability โ€” but its entries are real numbers, so it is still a sequence of cashflows. The sign does not matter yet.
โŒ Not quite. Zero, zero, zero, for ever, is a perfectly good sequence of cashflows: the zero asset is admissible, and it is worth nothing โ€” the right answer for that patent.
โŒ Not quite. Entries need not be known. Writing them as symbols is deliberate: you can have no idea what next year's cashflow will be and still say that it exists and belongs to this asset.
Show solution

Check each candidate against the conditions on an entry โ€” a real number, dated, from tt forward:

  • a โ€” real entries, all negative. Money leaves you at every date, so you would call it a liability, but the definition places no condition on the sign: it qualifies.
  • b โ€” 0โˆˆR0 \in \mathbb{R} at every date, so the zero sequence qualifies. The patent is an asset worth nothing.
  • c โ€” unknown entries are still entries. The definition needs them to exist and to be dated, not to be known.
  • d โ€” 4+3iโˆ‰R4 + 3i \notin \mathbb{R}. A cashflow is money changing hands, and money has no imaginary component, so this is not a sequence of cashflows.

Nothing else is required: the definition does not even forbid two different assets from sharing a cashflow.

Problem 3 ยท One Index Share, Entry by Entry

Given: the notes' 2008 figures for the firms in the S&P 500, adjusted to the index โ€” expected earnings of $66 per index share this year, dividends of $24, with dividends and earnings having grown 6.6% a year since 1926 (about 3.2% after inflation). Year 0 is this year; carry the growth rate forward.

What is the year-0 entry of one index share's sequence?

What is the year-2 entry, in nominal dollars?

โœ… Correct! The sequence opens at the dividend, $24.00, and each entry is the previous one times 1.066: $24.00, $25.58, $27.27, and so on.
โŒ Not quite. $66 is what the firms earn. The entry that reaches the holder of an index share is the dividend, $24 โ€” a little over a third of earnings.
โŒ Not quite. $66 โˆ’ $24 = $42 is the part that stays inside the firms. It never reaches you, so it is not an entry of your sequence.
โŒ Close, butโ€ฆ $25.58 is the year-1 entry. The sequence opens at year 0 with this year's dividend, before any growth.
โŒ Close, butโ€ฆ $24.00 ร— 1.066 = $25.58 is one year of growth. Year 2 grows the year-1 entry once more.
โŒ Not quite. $25.56 grows at 3.2% a year: it is the year-2 entry of the other sequence, counted in constant 2008 dollars. Nominal dollars grow at 6.6%.
โŒ Close, butโ€ฆ $27.17 adds 6.6% of $24 (that is, $1.584) each year. Each entry grows the previous entry: $25.58 ร— 1.066 = $27.27.
Show solution

Step 1 โ€” which number is the entry? The holder of an index share receives the dividend, not the earnings: $24 of the $66 is paid out, about 36 percent, and $66 โˆ’ $24 = $42 stays inside the firms. The sequence opens at $24.00 in year 0.

Step 2 โ€” carry the growth rate forward (an assumption about the future borrowed from the past):

  • Year 1: $24.00 ร— 1.066 = $25.58
  • Year 2: $25.58 ร— 1.066 = $27.27

Step 3 โ€” the other sequence. Strip inflation out and the growth rate is 3.2%: $24.00 ร— 1.032 = $24.77 in year 1, and $24.77 ร— 1.032 = $25.56 in year 2, counted in constant 2008 dollars. In dollars per index share:

nominal:ย {24.00,ย 25.58,ย 27.27,ย โ€ฆ}real:ย {24.00,ย 24.77,ย 25.56,ย โ€ฆ}\text{nominal: } \{24.00,\ 25.58,\ 27.27,\ \ldots\} \qquad \text{real: } \{24.00,\ 24.77,\ 25.56,\ \ldots\}

One index, two sequences of numbers, depending on which dollars you choose to count in.

Problem 4 ยท A Different Jet Forecast

Given: the Boeing regional jet as in the video โ€” development takes three years (years 0, 1 and 2) and costs about $850MM โ€” but now the forecast is 18 planes a year from year 3, unit costs come down only to $35MM, and the average price is still $41MM a plane. All entries in $MM.

What is each entry from year 3 onward?

Which sequence is the programme?

โœ… Correct! Three negative development entries whose phasing is not specified, then 18ร—(41โˆ’35)=10818 \times (41 - 35) = 108 a year for as long as the production line stays open.
โŒ Close, butโ€ฆ 30ร—6=18030 \times 6 = 180 keeps the old volume. The new forecast is 18 planes a year.
โŒ Not quite. 18ร—41=73818 \times 41 = 738 is revenue alone. Each plane also costs $35MM to build, so only the margin, 41โˆ’35=641 - 35 = 6 per plane, is left.
โŒ Close, butโ€ฆ 6 is the margin on one plane. The entry is for the whole year: 18 planes at that margin.
โŒ Not quite. Development runs across three years, so it occupies three dated entries โ€” years 0, 1 and 2 โ€” not one lump at year 0. Only their total, about โˆ’850, is given.
โŒ Not quite. That adds the entries into one total. The asset is the list, ordered by date; nothing is summed.
โŒ Not quite. The development outflows are dated today and the next two years, so they belong to the sequence from today forward. They come first, as negative entries.
Show solution

Step 1 โ€” the margin per plane: 41โˆ’35=641 - 35 = 6 ($MM).

Step 2 โ€” the entry per year: 18ร—6=10818 \times 6 = 108 ($MM), from year 3 onward, for as long as the production line stays open.

Step 3 โ€” the front of the sequence: years 0, 1 and 2 carry the development spending โ€” money going out, so negative entries. The description gives only their total, about โˆ’$850MM, not how it is phased, so write them as symbols:

{D0,ย D1,ย D2,ย 108,ย 108,ย 108,ย โ€ฆ},D0,D1,D2<0\{D_0,\ D_1,\ D_2,\ 108,\ 108,\ 108,\ \ldots\}, \qquad D_0, D_1, D_2 \lt 0

Every entry is a forecast, and the list is never added up: the list itself is the asset.

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