Finance-Theory · Unit 20 · Video 4 · Interactive Practice

Discount the Project, Not the Company: Pricing Bloomberg Press with a Pure-Play Beta

IKey Formulas

FormulaNameWhat you need
Rˉproject=Rf+βproject(Rˉm−Rf)\bar{R}_{\text{project}} = R_f + \beta_{\text{project}}\left(\bar{R}_m - R_f\right)Project cost of capital (CAPM)Risk-free rate, the project's beta, the market risk premium
βproject≈βpure play\beta_{\text{project}} \approx \beta_{\text{pure play}}Pure-play estimateA traded firm doing only the project's business
NPV=CF0+CF11+Rˉproject+⋯+CFT(1+Rˉproject)T\text{NPV} = CF_0 + \dfrac{CF_1}{1 + \bar{R}_{\text{project}}} + \cdots + \dfrac{CF_T}{(1 + \bar{R}_{\text{project}})^T}NPV at the project's rateThe project's cash flows and its own discount rate

Key Insight: The beta belongs to the project, not the company. A single company-wide rate is a horizontal line that sets the hurdle too high for low-beta projects and too low for high-beta ones.

IIProject Hurdle vs Company-Wide Rate

A parent with β=1.6\beta = 1.6 sets one flat 13.9%13.9\% rate; each project's own hurdle rises along the SML.

IIIA Range from Comparables

No comparable matches exactly: each comparable's β\beta gives one estimate, and judgment picks a rate inside the range.

💡 A conglomerate's β\beta is a value-weighted blend of all its businesses, so it says little about publishing alone; Problem 4 takes one apart.

IVQuiz Questions

Problem 1 · The Pure-Play Rate

Given: A technology firm with β=1.6\beta = 1.6 is considering a publishing imprint. The closest pure-play publisher has β=0.85\beta = 0.85; Rf=3.5%R_f = 3.5\% and Rˉm−Rf=6.5%\bar{R}_m - R_f = 6.5\%. Find the imprint's cost of capital.

✅ Correct! 3.5%+0.85×6.5%=9.025%3.5\% + 0.85 \times 6.5\% = 9.025\%: the imprint is discounted at a publisher's rate, not the parent's.
❌ That is only the risk premium. 0.85×6.5%=5.525%0.85 \times 6.5\% = 5.525\% is what the project earns above the risk-free rate; add Rf=3.5%R_f = 3.5\%.
❌ That is the parent's rate. 3.5%+1.6×6.5%=13.9%3.5\% + 1.6 \times 6.5\% = 13.9\% prices the technology business, not publishing. Use the pure play's β\beta.
❌ Not quite. Multiplying β\beta by the market's total return, 0.85×10%0.85 \times 10\%, misplaces RfR_f: only the premium Rˉm−Rf\bar{R}_m - R_f is scaled by β\beta.
❌ Not quite. Use Rˉproject=Rf+βproject(Rˉm−Rf)\bar{R}_{\text{project}} = R_f + \beta_{\text{project}}(\bar{R}_m - R_f) with the pure play's β\beta.
Show solution

The project's beta is estimated by the pure play's, βproject≈0.85\beta_{\text{project}} \approx 0.85, not the parent's 1.61.6:

Rˉproject=0.035+0.85×0.065=0.035+0.05525=0.09025=9.025%\bar{R}_{\text{project}} = 0.035 + 0.85 \times 0.065 = 0.035 + 0.05525 = 0.09025 = 9.025\%

The parent's own rate, 0.035+1.6×0.065=13.9%0.035 + 1.6 \times 0.065 = 13.9\%, would overstate the imprint's hurdle by 4.8754.875 percentage points.

Problem 2 · The Company-Wide Trap

Given: The imprint in Problem 1 costs $2,000,000 today and is expected to generate $200,000 at the end of every year forever. Find its NPV at the correct discount rate and the decision.

✅ Correct! At the imprint's own 9.025%9.025\% the perpetuity is worth about $2,216,066, more than its $2,000,000 cost.
❌ That uses the parent's 13.9%. This is exactly the low-beta project a company-wide rate wrongly rejects: it clears its own hurdle.
❌ That discounts at the market's 10%. The imprint's β\beta is 0.850.85, below 11, so its rate is below the market's.
❌ That uses a conglomerate's 12.6%. A β\beta of 1.401.40 blends other businesses' risks; the pure play's 0.850.85 measures publishing.
❌ Not quite. Value the perpetuity as C/rC/r at the project's rate, then subtract the cost.
Show solution

A level perpetuity starting in one year is worth C/rC / r. In dollars, at r=9.025%r = 9.025\%:

PV=200,0000.09025≈2,216,066,NPV≈2,216,066−2,000,000=216,066\text{PV} = \frac{200{,}000}{0.09025} \approx 2{,}216{,}066, \qquad \text{NPV} \approx 2{,}216{,}066 - 2{,}000{,}000 = 216{,}066

NPV ≈ +$216,066 > 0, so accept. At the parent's 13.9%13.9\% the same cash flows are worth 200,000/0.139≈1,438,849200{,}000 / 0.139 \approx 1{,}438{,}849, an NPV of about −$561,151, and a value-adding project would be turned down.

Problem 3 · Where Judgment Matters

Given: Two more pure-play publishers have β=0.95\beta = 0.95 (large) and β=1.05\beta = 1.05 (small), so the pure-play estimates span β=0.85\beta = 0.85 to 1.051.05. Same RfR_f, premium and imprint as above. Find the cost of capital at the top of this range and the imprint's NPV there.

Cost of capital at β=1.05\beta = 1.05

Imprint's NPV at that rate

✅ Correct! The NPV is positive at β=0.85\beta = 0.85 and 0.950.95 but negative at 1.051.05: the sign flips inside the range, so where judgment places the rate decides the project.
❌ That is the middle of the range. 3.5%+0.95×6.5%=9.675%3.5\% + 0.95 \times 6.5\% = 9.675\% uses the large publisher's β\beta; the top of the range is β=1.05\beta = 1.05.
❌ That is only the risk premium. 1.05×6.5%=6.825%1.05 \times 6.5\% = 6.825\%; add Rf=3.5%R_f = 3.5\%.
❌ That is the conglomerate's rate. 3.5%+1.40×6.5%=12.6%3.5\% + 1.40 \times 6.5\% = 12.6\% lies outside the pure-play range, which stops at β=1.05\beta = 1.05.
❌ Wrong rate. That is the NPV at 9.675%9.675\% (β=0.95\beta = 0.95), the middle of the range, not its top.
❌ Wrong rate. That is the NPV at 9.025%9.025\% (β=0.85\beta = 0.85), the bottom of the range.
❌ Wrong rate. That is the NPV at the conglomerate's 12.6%12.6\%; use 10.325%10.325\%.
❌ Check the rate. Rf+1.05×6.5%R_f + 1.05 \times 6.5\%: the premium is 6.825%6.825\%, and Rf=3.5%R_f = 3.5\% must be added to it.
❌ Check the NPV. Divide $200,000 by 0.103250.10325, then subtract the $2,000,000 cost.
Show solution
Rˉ=0.035+1.05×0.065=0.035+0.06825=0.10325=10.325%\bar{R} = 0.035 + 1.05 \times 0.065 = 0.035 + 0.06825 = 0.10325 = 10.325\%

In dollars:

PV=200,0000.10325≈1,937,046,NPV≈1,937,046−2,000,000=−62,954\text{PV} = \frac{200{,}000}{0.10325} \approx 1{,}937{,}046, \qquad \text{NPV} \approx 1{,}937{,}046 - 2{,}000{,}000 = -62{,}954

Across the range: at 9.025%9.025\% the NPV is about +$216,066, at 9.675%9.675\% about +$67,183, at 10.325%10.325\% about −$62,954. The NPV is zero at exactly 10%10\%, the rate for β=1\beta = 1. The decision rests on judging how risky this imprint is relative to the comparables.

Problem 4 · Inside a Conglomerate's Beta

Given: The conglomerate comparable has β=1.40\beta = 1.40. Publishing makes up 60%60\% of the conglomerate's total market value and has the pure-play β=0.85\beta = 0.85; the other 40%40\% of its value is a ratings-and-data business. A firm's β\beta is the value-weighted average of its businesses' betas. Find the β\beta of the ratings-and-data business.

✅ Correct! Its required return is 3.5%+2.225×6.5%=17.9625%3.5\% + 2.225 \times 6.5\% = 17.9625\%. The conglomerate's 12.6%12.6\% averages a 9.025%9.025\% business with this one, which is why it misprices publishing.
❌ Not quite. 1.40−0.851.40 - 0.85 ignores the weights; solve 1.40=0.6×0.85+0.4 βother1.40 = 0.6 \times 0.85 + 0.4\,\beta_{\text{other}}.
❌ Not quite. 1.40/0.41.40 / 0.4 forgets to remove publishing's contribution, 0.6×0.85=0.510.6 \times 0.85 = 0.51, first.
❌ The weights are swapped. Publishing carries the 60%60\% weight and the other business the 40%40\%.
❌ Not quite. Write the conglomerate's β\beta as a weighted average and solve for the unknown.
Show solution
1.40=0.6×0.85+0.4 βother  ⇒  βother=1.40−0.510.4=0.890.4=2.2251.40 = 0.6 \times 0.85 + 0.4\,\beta_{\text{other}} \;\Rightarrow\; \beta_{\text{other}} = \frac{1.40 - 0.51}{0.4} = \frac{0.89}{0.4} = 2.225

Its cost of capital is 0.035+2.225×0.065=0.179625≈18.0%0.035 + 2.225 \times 0.065 = 0.179625 \approx 18.0\%. Check: 0.6×9.025%+0.4×17.9625%=5.415%+7.185%=12.6%0.6 \times 9.025\% + 0.4 \times 17.9625\% = 5.415\% + 7.185\% = 12.6\%, the conglomerate's own rate. Reading publishing's risk off β=1.40\beta = 1.40 would mix in a business whose β\beta is about 2.62.6 times publishing's.

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