Key Insight: One method prices every security in the course: write down its cash flows, then value them with present value and no free lunch. Bonds have fixed payments, stocks random dividends, forwards start at zero value, options pay a kinked function of the price.
IIVisualization 1 β An Annuity as Two Perpetuities
A $250 annuity for T years is a perpetuity bought today minus one that starts paying after date T.
IIIVisualization 2 β A Coupon Bond Is a Bundle of Discount Bonds
Each payment of the bond is priced as its own discount bond: P=CP0,1β+CP0,2β+β―+(C+F)P0,Tβ.
IVVisualization 3 β Copying a Call with Stock and Borrowing
A call is copied by Ξ shares plus riskless borrowing B, so no free lunch fixes its price.
VQuiz Questions
Problem 1 Β· Gordon Growth
Given: A stock will pay a dividend of $2.70 one year from now; dividends then grow at g=3% a year forever, and investors require r=11%. Find the stock's price today.
β Correct!P0β=0.11β0.032.70β=0.082.70β=33.75, so $33.75.
β That ignores growth.0.112.70ββ24.55 is a level perpetuity; growing dividends are discounted at rβg.
β Wrong sign on g.0.142.70ββ19.29 uses r+g. Growth raises the value: the denominator is rβg, not r+g.
β The $2.70 is already next year's dividend.0.082.70Γ1.03ββ34.76 grows it one year too many; the formula takes D1β as given.
Show solution
The dividends form a growing perpetuity whose first payment, $2.70, arrives at date 1. With r>g:
The price is $33.75. Turned around, the same model reads the required return off the price: r=P0βD1ββ+g=33.752.70β+0.03=0.08+0.03=0.11.
Problem 2 Β· The Same Bond One Year Later
Given: A 4-year bond with face value $1,000 pays a 6% coupon once a year, and its yield is r=7% with annual compounding. Find its price one year from now, just after the first coupon is paid, if the yield is still 7%.
β Correct! Three payments remain: 1.0760β+1.07260β+1.0731060ββ973.76. With the yield unchanged, the price drifts up toward par as maturity approaches.
β That is today's price, with four payments left. A year later only three remain, each one year closer, so the price changes even though the yield does not.
β Not at par. A bond sells at par only when its yield equals its coupon rate; here 7% > 6%, so it still sells below $1,000.
β That counts the coupon just paid. $973.76 + $60 = $1,033.76 is what the holder has in total; the coupon has already left the bond.
Show solution
After the first coupon, the bond pays $60 at dates 1 and 2 and $1,060 at date 3 (measured from the new today). Each payment is a discount bond:
The price is $973.76. Check against today's price, 1.0760β+1.07260β+1.07360β+1.0741060ββ966.13: a holder who buys at $966.13 ends the year with 973.76+60=1033.76, and 966.131033.76ββ1.07. The bond earns exactly its 7% yield, part as coupon and part as the pull toward par.
Problem 3 Β· A Forward from No Free Lunch
Given: A stock trades at $64 and pays no dividends; the riskless rate is r=7% with annual compounding. Two parties agree a one-year forward contract on the stock.
Forward price that gives the contract zero value at initiation
The stock ends the year at $60. The long side's payoff
β Correct!F0,1β=64Γ1.07=68.48, and the long receives S1ββF0,1β=60β68.48=β8.48, which is exactly the short's gain.
β That is the spot price. Buying the stock today ties up $64 for a year; the forward price must cover that financing cost, or one side gets a free lunch.
β Wrong direction.1.0764β discounts the price; the forward price carries the spot price forward to the settlement date.
β That is only the financing cost.64Γ0.07=4.48 is the interest; the forward price is the spot price plus that interest.
β That is the short side's payoff. The buyer receives S1ββF0,1β, which is negative when the stock ends below the forward price.
β The payoff is measured against the forward price, not today's spot. The long agreed to pay $68.48, not $64.
β Zero value holds only at initiation. After that the contract gains or loses value; at settlement it pays S1ββF0,1β.
β Check the forward price. Carry the spot price forward one year at the riskless rate.
β Check the payoff. The long's payoff is S1ββF0,1β.
Show solution
Forward price. Borrow $64 at 7%, buy the stock, and hold it for a year: you will own the stock and owe 64Γ1.07=68.48. Selling forward at any F0,1β>68.48 locks in a riskless profit; at any F0,1β<68.48 the reverse trade does. No free lunch forces
F0,1β=S0β(1+r)=64Γ1.07=68.48
so the forward price is $68.48, and the contract costs nothing to enter.
Payoff. At settlement the buyer pays $68.48 for a stock worth $60:
S1ββF0,1β=60β68.48=β8.48
The long loses $8.48 and the short gains $8.48: one side's gain is the other side's loss.
Problem 4 Β· A Binomial Put
Given: A stock trades at $30. Next period it moves up by a factor u=1.3 or down by d=0.85, and the gross riskless return is r=1.04. Price a one-period European put with strike $30.
Weight on the down-state payoff, uβduβrβ
Put price today
β Correct!P0β=1.041β(4519ββ 0+4526ββ 4.5)=1.042.6β=2.5, so $2.50.
β That is the up-state weight.uβdrβdβ=0.450.19β multiplies Cuβ; the down-state payoff takes uβduβrβ=0.450.26β.
β The weights are not probabilities you choose. They come from copying the payoff with stock and borrowing, so they depend only on u, d and r.
β That is the down factor itself. The weight is uβduβrβ=1.3β0.851.3β1.04β.
β Missing the discount.4526βΓ4.5=2.6 is a next-period amount; divide by the gross return r=1.04.
β That is the down-state payoff. The put pays 30β25.5=4.5 only if the stock falls; weight it and discount it.
β The weights are swapped.4519βΓ4.5Γ·1.04β1.83 puts the up-state weight on the down-state payoff.
β Check the weight. Substitute u=1.3, d=0.85, r=1.04 into uβduβrβ.
β Check the price. Weight each state's payoff, add, and divide by r.
Show solution
Tree. The stock ends at uS0β=1.3Γ30=39 or dS0β=0.85Γ30=25.5. The put pays Puβ=Max[0,Β 30β39]=0 and Pdβ=Max[0,Β 30β25.5]=4.5.
Weights.uβdrβdβ=1.3β0.851.04β0.85β=0.450.19β=4519β and uβduβrβ=0.451.3β1.04β=0.450.26β=4526ββ0.578.
The put is worth $2.50. The same answer comes from copying it: Ξ=uS0ββdS0βPuββPdββ=13.50β4.5β=β31β (short one third of a share) and B=rPuββΞuS0ββ=1.040+13β=12.5 lent riskless, so P0β=ΞS0β+B=β10+12.5=2.5. Any other price is an arbitrage.