Why must every stock eventually pay out, and how does discounting expected dividends at risky rates give its price?
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A claim that never pays is worth zero
State that every stock must eventually pay a dividend or a liquidating distribution, record the Ponzi-scheme argument against a never-paying claim, and use Microsoft's first dividend in 2003 as the example.
The general formula
Define (ex-dividend), , and , note that dividends are never negative, and write the price as the discounted sum of expected dividends.
Time-varying risk-adjusted discount rates
Record that the subscript on reflects a term structure of risky rates that shifts daily, and list the two sources of uncertainty in equities: cash flows and discount rates.